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2022 Saints win totals: Big Easy has big wild card this season

The NFC South ought to be gained with ease by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season. New Orleans appears to be like just like the next-best group, however there may be loads of debate as to how good this group truly is. 

For starters, it’s arduous to know who might be on the sector. Running again Alvin Kamara is without doubt one of the most versatile and explosive gamers within the NFL, however it appears to be like like he’s going to overlook a while in some unspecified time in the future this season attributable to suspension. Top receiver Michael Thomas remains to be a query mark, too, as he recovers from damage.

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Last season, the Saints truly had the most effective defenses within the league. They completed fourth in factors allowed at lower than 20 factors per recreation and appeared to outplay their personnel whereas benefitting from loads of turnovers, which may be arduous to depend on from yr to yr. Even in the event that they get lots out of their offensive playmakers, they want the protection to be higher than common if they’ll exceed their win whole. The additions of safeties Marcus Maye and Tyrann Mathieu have upgraded their secondary, however their greatest participant on protection is veteran defensive finish Cameron Jordan who has been within the league for greater than a decade. It is difficult to lean on a man like that too closely.

This goes to be head coach Dennis Allen’s first season main the group. Getting elevated from defensive coordinator appears to be like just like the good play by way of continuity, however there aren’t loads of defensive coaches killing it within the league proper now. 

New Orleans Saints win totals

Over 8.5 (+105)
Under 8.5 (-125)

Best Bet:  Under 8.5

You know I hate being with the bulk, however I’m not fairly there with the potential of the Saints. It sort of seems like they’re in a holding sample proper now. They aren’t going to dip too low, however the choices they’ve at quarterback and coach are extra sufficient than inspiring. 

The Saints can declare their intention within the NFC South early on as their first three video games are all towards division opponents. In Week 1 they’re at Atlanta, then dwelling to Tampa Bay after which again on the highway at Carolina. Those highway video games towards weaker opponents are vital, and if they’ll get each of them, the over may look good early.

Next, they’ve a visit to London to tackle Minnesota — which appears to be like like a toss-up — and following that, they’ve elected to not take their bye week. Instead, they’re dwelling to Seattle — a recreation that may most likely be a “gimme” beneath extra regular scheduling circumstances however now appears to be like like a possible loss although the Seahawks are one of many worst groups within the league. 

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After that recreation, the schedule actually stiffens. In a stretch of eight contests, they get each of the Super Bowl members at dwelling and three highway video games towards playoff groups from a yr in the past. That is a tall order for any group, and with a man like Jameis Winston at quarterback, you simply by no means know when a four-interception recreation is about to occur. Mixed into this chunk of the season are a few toss-up video games that change into must-wins for the marketing campaign to be significant.

New Orleans has a late bye week this season (December 12). The last 4 video games of the schedule embrace dwelling dates towards Atlanta and Carolina (which ought to be wins), however visits to Philly and Cleveland when it’s chilly out — and people groups are determined for wins — appear like losses. 

This group gained 9 video games a season in the past, however I see regression in 2022. Against a lighter schedule, the Saints might need been capable of keep extra related. Even although their division is just not sturdy, getting the NFC West and AFC North is doing them no favors.

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