Each member of the Tier 1 quarterback group possesses a mix of passing and dashing metrics which registers as elite. Overall, Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen has terrific metrics on each fronts, as he threw for 36 TDs and greater than 4,400 yards, whereas dashing for 763 yards and 6 TDs as nicely. Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson’s calling card comes within the dashing recreation, with 1,000-yard dashing seasons in each 2019 and 2020, however falling quick in 2021 primarily because of harm. There seems to be a little bit of fantasy fatigue on Jackson, however don’t make that mistake. Both Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert run passing offenses that make opponents drool, whereas additionally contributing to the dashing recreation in a significant method (assume 300+ dashing yards and 2-3 TDs). The Tier 1 QB group needs to be chosen beginning in direction of the again half of spherical 3, and persevering with by way of spherical 5.
Tier 2 presents sturdy fantasy QB choices as nicely, albeit with out the identical gusto within the passing-rushing combo of the tier 1 choices. One can argue that Cardinals QB Kyler Murray belongs within the first tier, however accidents and fading statistics behind NFL seasons retains him under the highest quartet. Jalen Hurts has work to do on his passing recreation, however 784 dashing yards and 10 TDs from the QB spot (per his 2021 numbers) locations him excessive within the rankings. His dashing recreation ought to proceed to be sturdy in 2022, with some beneficial properties to be anticipated on the passing aspect because of one other 12 months of expertise and the Eagles’ addition of star WR AJ Brown. On the alternative finish of the spectrum, Bengals QB Joe Burrow stuffs the stat sheet primarily by way of the passing recreation, as evidenced by his 4,600 passing yards and 34 TDs final season. Burrow has rushed for beneath 150 yards in every of his two seasons, and also you shouldn’t count on an enormous change there. Rounds 6-7 make sense for the tier 2 trio.
Tier 3 homes my first daring prediction of the season, as I count on 49ers QB Trey Lance to grow to be a fantasy darling this season. I didn’t fairly have the nerve to position him on the high of this tier, however sliding simply behind the GOAT nonetheless rings loud. While the QBs in tier 3 include extra considerations than the previous tiers, you may comfortably proceed with a beginning QB from this group. While Brady has but to point out indicators of slowdown by way of 22 NFL seasons, he’ll play the 2022 season at age 45. At some level, the wheels will fall off! Not predicting it’ll be this 12 months, however there’s nonetheless some threat there. Both Dak Prescott and Aaron Rodgers have misplaced key vast receivers, so their passing numbers might level downward from final season. Broncos QB Russell Wilson (will take some getting used to) joins a brand new franchise, with a brand new offense and new talent gamers, so he may have a while to regulate to the utterly new settings. Super Bowl winner Matthew Stafford comes with the least threat from this group, however he additionally doubtless possesses the least upside right here. We circle again to second-year QB Trey Lance, who has the arm, accuracy and dashing skill to vault right into a high 5 fantasy QB as early as this season. But sure, having not but carried out at that stage, Lance comes with essentially the most threat right here as nicely. The suggestion right here is to focus on a beginning QB from this tier and above.
The QB place continues to be traditionally deep, with maybe the league’s most underrated QB main the Tier 4 quintet. There’s nothing horny about Derek Carr’s recreation, however traditionally he’s been good for ~ 25 TD tosses a season. Now reunited together with his former school teammate — stud WR Davante Adams — Carr has the precise talent gamers round him to leap nearer to the 28-30 TD mark. What would you consider a QB who averaged 4,243 passing yards and 34 TDs a season? Those are Kirk Cousins’ numbers over the previous two years, which occur to coincide with famous person WR Justin Jefferson’s tenure with the Vikings. Expect extra of the identical manufacturing from Cousins, with the Vikings’ offense a sleeper to vault close to the highest of the NFL. With everybody’s favourite lap dance-seeking head coach not working the ship in Jacksonville, Trevor Lawrence ought to rebound in Year 2. The Jags’ skill-position core nonetheless lacks the high-end expertise wanted for Lawrence to bump up into the following tier, however he’ll look significantly better in 2022. Speaking of skill-position deficiency, the Bears’ technique for supporting QB Justin Fields stays a thriller. Fields resides in the identical tier as Lawrence primarily due to his anticipating work within the dashing recreation. We finish Tier 4 with Tua Tagovailoa, who now has WR Tyreek Hill to throw to, together with second-year WR Jaylen Waddle and incumbent TE Mike Gesicki. In different phrases, Tua’s out of excuses if he doesn’t carry out in 2022. While Tua doesn’t possess a cannon for an arm, his accuracy offers hope for a stable, fantasy-relevant 2022 marketing campaign. Unless you’re in a deep league (that means 14+ groups) I might recommend avoiding the Tier 4 group as a weekly starter, as there are higher choices obtainable. But matchup/spot begins are superb with this group.
The Tier 5 residents possess a diverse background, from a former league MVP (Matt Ryan) to a QB more likely to face a prolonged suspension (Deshaun Watson), together with upside second-year gamers (Mac Jones, Zach Wilson and Davis Mills) to veterans attempting to show that they belong as beginning QBs (Daniel Jones, Jameis Winston, Carson Wentz, Jared Goff, Ryan Tannehill and Baker Mayfield). This group ought to solely be used as backups or spot starters, with the exception being Deshaun Watson within the occasion that he performs in 2022. If aiming for upside amongst this group, I might recommend specializing in the primary three names.
The technique at QB in fantasy leagues has remained static for the previous few years. Most fantasy leagues have 10 or 12 groups, and there are comfortably 13 viable weekly starters this season. Doing the mathematics, until you’re in a league with 14+ groups, we’ve received extra starting-caliber QBs than groups in your league. As we undergo the RB and WR positions, you’ll see that the mathematics will get loads more durable. As a consequence, it is best to give attention to fortifying your RB, WR and TE positions, understanding that there are a number of beginning QB choices you may snag within the mid to later rounds. In case you crave a Tier 1 starter, no less than be certain that you’re not overpaying together with your draft capital.
If your lead QB occurs to fall outdoors of the highest three tiers, be sure that he’s no decrease than Tier 4, and no less than pair up that QB with a second Tier 4 possibility so to play weekly matchups.
*** The exception to the wait-for-QBs rule applies for leagues that require you to begin two QBs. In two-QB leagues, it is best to intention to seize your first QB from Tier 2 or higher, together with your second QB coming from no additional down than Tier 4. In such a league, it’s applicable to draft your first QB throughout the first two rounds. Scarcity flips technique, so simply be aware of the stark distinction in technique for 2 QB leagues.