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How could a trade impact Josh Jacobs’ fantasy football value in 2022?

The 2022 Hall of Fame Game shocked many onlookers as a result of how a lot we noticed of Las Vegas Raiders operating again Josh Jacobs. While 5 rush makes an attempt and two targets might not seem to be a lot, for a veteran in a preseason sport, it’s a heavy workload.

Seeing Jacobs play a number of drives prompted hypothesis that the Raiders could also be seeking to pump up his value in the preseason in order to trade him. If that’s the case, how would a trade doubtlessly impact Jacobs’ fantasy football value in 2022?

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Is Josh Jacobs a trade candidate this preseason?

There are actually circumstances to be made each methods in the case of Jacobs being a potential trade candidate. After the sport, Raiders’ head coach Josh McDaniels appeared to downplay the importance of Jacobs’ preseason look.

“I always think it’s good for backs to carry the ball in the preseason,” McDaniels mentioned. “There’s a lot of things that happen when you’re getting tackled and hit that you can’t simulate in practice. I think all of our guys had the ball tonight; all of our guys either caught it or were handed the ball and had to get tackled. We can’t really simulate that or rep that in practice.”

However, McDaniels was additionally a part of the employees that traded Sony Michel out of New England in very related contract circumstances final yr. Michel was traded to the Los Angeles Rams as he entered the ultimate yr of his rookie deal, having had his fifth-year possibility declined. Similarly, Jacobs is now getting into the ultimate yr of his rookie deal after having his fifth-year possibility declined.

Michel was traded on Aug. 25, 2021, between the top of the preseason and the beginning of the common season. During preseason, he had a whole of 13 speeding makes an attempt for 50 yards with 4 receptions for 37 yards. Were the Patriots and McDaniels merely getting Michel some touches to organize him for the season, or had been they attempting to raise his value some as they looked for a trade?

There are actually some similarities between the 2 conditions, and ruling out a trade fully can be naive. The greatest distinction is that New England maybe knew they weren’t contending for a Super Bowl final yr and could afford to trade away an RB.

In distinction, Las Vegas has made strikes to place itself on the perimeter of being Super Bowl contenders. Would they be prepared to trade away their prime operating again to a different contending group? The reply to that query lies in the minds of McDaniels and GM Dave Ziegler.

There is a wide selection of potential fantasy outcomes in the case of any attainable trade for Jacobs. His position in Las Vegas is assumed to be the lead again in what has been mentioned beforehand as a committee scenario.

We’ve seen McDaniels’ offense in New England combine and match their backs based mostly on the sport scenario, so we are able to seemingly anticipate one thing related in Las Vegas. Therefore, his present value is considerably unsure, along with his ADP resting in the mid-to-late fourth spherical.

Right now, there aren’t any apparent conditions the place Jacobs’ fantasy value would rise exponentially. At this level, all 32 groups have what seems to be a settled backfield scenario. The solely vacation spot the place you could make a case Jacobs can be the unquestioned lead again is in Houston, the place Marlon Mack and rookie Dameon Pierce at present prime the depth chart.

There are different locations the place Jacobs could go and compete to earn the beginning position — Seattle and Atlanta are prime examples. However, neither of these groups seemingly view themselves as Super Bowl challengers at this stage of the season. Therefore, they would appear unlikely to make a push so as to add a veteran again in the ultimate yr of his rookie contract.

Any different touchdown spot proper now would realistically see Jacobs retain the identical degree of fantasy value or see that value drop. Teams such because the Arizona Cardinals, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, or Buffalo Bills might really feel they could add a veteran again at a comparatively low-cost value to supply depth. At greatest, Jacobs would seemingly be in a committee scenario in these locations, and he could merely be a backup in case of harm.

This story is about to rumble on

However, the Raiders could be taking part in the lengthy sport. We’ve already seen accidents and harm scares throughout coaching camp, and there’s nonetheless greater than a month to go till the beginning of the 2022 NFL season. If we see a operating again or two go down with accidents on a contending group, then the trade marketplace for Jacobs could actually warmth up.

In that scenario, Jacobs could but find yourself as a lead again on a good group. If that occurs, it will not be unrealistic to anticipate that a participant with a twin talent set sees a important enhance in fantasy value.

Jacobs has by no means completed decrease than RB16 for fantasy whereas having between 262 and 306 touches throughout his profession. Until a trade takes place, he stays a stable RB2, which is precisely mirrored in his present ADP.

The almost definitely trade state of affairs at this level can be following an harm to a starter. If that had been to occur, Jacobs has the potential to complete as a top-12 again. On 306 touches in 2020, Jacobs completed eighth on the place and nineteenth total in phrases of fantasy factors.

Yes, it was shocking to see Jacobs play and take this many touches in the Hall of Fame Game, however no, it mustn’t instantly imply you downgrade him in your fantasy rankings.

Last yr, Najee Harris had seven carries in the Hall of Fame Game, and 13 carries in whole throughout the preseason. The solely time eyebrows must be considerably raised is that if we nonetheless see Jacobs on the sphere come Week 3 of the 2022 NFL preseason when starters are normally rested forward of Week 1.

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