In gearing up for the 2022 fantasy soccer season, our QB rankings are consistently altering as we achieve new info. Now that the important thing offseason occasions have come and gone, the place do these gamers rank for redraft leagues heading into 2022? Let’s check out the newest consensus rankings on the place for PFN’s fantasy analysts Tommy Garrett and Jason Katz.
On the newest episode of PFN’s Premier Fantasy Football Podcast, Tommy and I kicked off our first of a sequence of six episodes devoted to our 2022 redraft rankings with the quarterback place.
1) Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills
This is as straightforward because it will get. Josh Allen is coming off back-to-back general QB1 finishes and is the primary participant in fantasy historical past with a number of 400-point seasons.
The Bills are a pass-first offense, rating second in impartial recreation script cross price. Allen additionally contributes about 4 fantasy factors per recreation through dashing. He’s the entire package deal and ought to be the primary quarterback off the board in 99% of redraft leagues.
2) Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers
Here’s a participant that simply retains getting higher. Justin Herbert is the best new-age quarterback that could be a excellent mix of pocket ardour and mobility.
Herbert averaged 23.2 ppg final season, good for an overall QB2 finish. The Chargers beefed up their offensive line and introduced again Mike Williams. Herbert’s 11 QB finishes led all quarterbacks final season. While Allen is the clear QB1, it wouldn’t shock me if Herbert unseated him.
3) Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens
We are above consensus on Lamar Jackson right here. How rapidly the fantasy group forgets that this man averaged 28.2 ppg in 2019.
From 2019-2020, Jackson had 37 or extra cross makes an attempt in a recreation simply 4 instances. He hit that quantity 5 instances in 2021, with Baltimore throwing at a 60% clip. Last 12 months, the Ravens had been compelled to desert their typical run-heavy offense as a result of decimation of their backfield, offensive line, and protection. They will return to their operating methods this season, and Jackson is ready to dominate like he did three years in the past.
4) Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs offense underwent some modifications this offseason, most notably the departure of Tyreek Hill. While that’s clearly a downgrade for Patrick Mahomes, that is nonetheless, in my humble opinion, essentially the most gifted quarterback in NFL historical past.
Since 2018 (62 video games), Mahomes has completed as a QB1 in 69% of his video games and inside the highest 24 in 98% of video games whereas averaging 26.7 ppg. In these 62 video games, Mahomes has 45 finishes inside the highest 12 (72.5%) and 18 inside the highest 4 (29%). If you take away video games during which Mahomes didn’t play the whole recreation, his rolling four-year common is QB7.9. Allen is the one QB in the identical realm, however Mahomes has finished it twice as lengthy.
He’s by no means completed decrease than QB6 and by no means averaged underneath 20 ppg. Mahomes is probably not the man he was in 2018, however he’s nonetheless a locked-in high QB1.
5) Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals
I really like Kyler Murray, however he frustrates me to no finish. Murray completed because the QB4 final, season averaging a good 22.1 ppg. However, once I’m taking a quarterback as the primary or second QB off the board, he must be higher.
The actuality is Murray was both every week winner or no higher than a back-end QB1. He scored 32.4% of his fantasy factors in Weeks 1, 2, and 13. In his different 11 begins, he averaged 19 ppg. For comparability functions, Kirk Cousins, who (spoiler alert) isn’t even on this checklist, averaged 19.2 ppg. Murray is undoubtedly a mid-to-high QB1, however he’s firmly beneath the highest 4 guys on this checklist.
6) Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles
In my private rankings, I’ve Jalen Hurts above Murray. I’m all in on Hurts this season. He posted 11 QB1 finishes final season, which was the very best price within the NFL (he solely began 15 video games).
Hurts is the second-best dashing QB within the NFL behind Jackson. He truly led the NFL in carries, yards, and touchdowns on the bottom final season. The Eagles additionally added A.J. Brown, giving Hurts a official WR1 and permitting DeVonta Smith to play his extra pure WR2 function. It’s wheels up for Hurts in 2022.
7) Tom Brady | Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It certain seems incorrect to rank final 12 months’s QB3 down at QB7. It’s definitely not as a result of we predict Tom Brady goes to fall off. The downside is within the trendy NFL, fantasy quarterbacks want to have the ability to run and Brady merely doesn’t.
It took Brady 719 cross makes an attempt, 5,316 yards, and 43 passing touchdowns to complete because the QB3. Chris Godwin goes to overlook at the least the primary few weeks of the season, if not half of it. Antonio Brown is gone, and we don’t know if Rob Gronkowski will return. If Brady loses 25 yards per recreation and 4-5 touchdowns, he falls into the mid-QB1 vary, which is precisely the place we’ve got him.
8) Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow led the NFL in completion proportion final season in his first 12 months again after destroying his knee. He’s solely getting higher and extra assured in his knee. The Bengals even have the most effective vast receiver trio within the NFL in Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd.
With that mentioned, Burrow was loopy environment friendly final season, main the NFL in yards per try at 8.9, and nonetheless completed merely because the QB10 (20.5 ppg). The Bengals ran the fourth-fewest performs per recreation and performed on the fifth-slowest tempo within the NFL. Unless they provide Burrow extra quantity by taking part in faster, it’s doable he will get higher, however his fantasy worth stays comparatively the identical.
9) Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams
Tommy is somewhat greater on Matthew Stafford than I’m, however we each agree Stafford’s as secure because it will get. At worst, he will likely be a back-end QB1.
My considerations lie in the truth that Stafford threw for 4,886 yards and 41 touchdowns final season and nonetheless averaged simply 20.4 ppg. Ten years in the past, that might be an elite QB1 end. Not anymore. With no dashing upside to talk of, I’m undecided how a lot better Stafford could be. He gained’t fail you, however when you’re on the lookout for a QB that may crack the highest six, I don’t assume Stafford is your man.
10) Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys
As for a quarterback who can positively crack that prime six if issues break proper, look no additional than Dak Prescott. Prescott averaged 20.7 ppg final season with a protection that led the NFL in turnover differential. We’ve already seen what occurs when the Cowboys’ protection collapses. Prescott was on tempo to shatter the single-season passing yards report in 2020 earlier than happening along with his ankle damage.
The Cowboys averaged 25.2 seconds per snap final season, the quickest price within the league. If this protection will get just a bit bit worse and Prescott runs somewhat extra now that he’s two years faraway from his ankle fracture, we may very well be an elite QB1 as soon as once more.
11) Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers
Similar to Stafford, what extra can Aaron Rodgers actually do in comparison with final season? He completed because the QB8, averaging 21.1 ppg, whereas throwing 37 landing passes.
The Packers play on the slowest tempo within the NFL. Davante Adams is gone, leaving Rodgers to throw to Allen Lazard, Sammy Watkins, and rookie Christian Watson. This crew is more likely to lean extra on its operating backs. At finest, Rodgers repeats what he did final season. The extra probably state of affairs is he throws a pair fewer touchdowns and finishes proper round the place we’ve got him ranked.
12) Russell Wilson | Denver Broncos
Rounding out the highest 12 is Russell Wilson. Now free of the shackles of Pete Carroll’s Seventies offense, Wilson may very well get an opportunity to common over 30 cross makes an attempt per recreation this season.
Equipped with gifted weapons round him in Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick, Wilson’s upside stays as high because it has all the time been. Hopefully, he averages greater than the career-low 13.1 dashing yards per recreation final season. Increased quantity and a return to his scrambling methods are what would propel Wilson from low QB1 to mid-to-high QB1.