When you make your bets on an NFL Sunday and watching groups zip across the ball it looks like no one runs the ball anymore. The league has positively embraced passing like by no means earlier than however there are nonetheless some groups that decide to the run and irrespective of what number of passes are thrown there’ll all the time be a rushing chief.
Knowing which groups actually worth a operating recreation is as vital as assessing particular person expertise in analyzing the market for the NFL rushing chief in 2022. Last yr, it was the Colts’ Jonathan Taylor who led the league in rushing, doing so for the primary time. With this market particularly, well being is a significant factor as a result of there isn’t a doubt in my thoughts Tennessee’s Derrick Henry would have grabbed a 3rd straight rushing title if he didn’t get harm. His per-game numbers had been higher than Taylor’s
When you have a look at the historical past of this class, you do see some “one-hit wonders”. Not everybody who wins a rushing title is certain for the Hall of Fame, some simply pop for a season or two after which disappear (Arian Foster, MJD) and a number of the most reliable runners within the recreation by no means got here near single-year honours.
With that in thoughts, let’s check out a number of the “good bets and value” to win the rushing title this season.
2022 NFL Rushing Leader Futures
Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry +600
Henry missed half of final season however averaged more yards per recreation than Taylor when on the sphere. With the modifications the Titans made this offseason (buying and selling AJ Brown), there’s going to be an even firmer dedication to the run this season. Especially if rookie QB Malik Willis is underneath heart in any respect. The alternative is there for Henry to get again to the highest of the heap. That payoff is fairly good too.
Taylor is coming off an amazing season and has proven so much over his first two years within the NFL. I do surprise concerning the scenario although. The Colts upgraded at quarterback with Matt Ryan coming in from Atlanta. Now I don’t assume they’ll go go loopy however it’s important to assume they could lean a bit more that means than they’ve up to now. Henry appears like a greater wager except you worth well being most of all.
Nick Chubb +900
Nobody is aware of what will occur with the Deshaun Watson scenario, however I feel it ought to imply more alternative somehow for Chubb. Chubb is a workhorse and he appears destined to win a rushing title. The easy truth is he’s essentially the most constant runner within the recreation proper now, the one one with 3 straight 1000+ yard seasons whereas averaging a minimum of 5 yards per carry. Cleveland is in an fascinating spot this yr and Chubb is likely to be their ticket to success this season amidst the circus.
Najee Harris +1600
Harris didn’t have the rookie season I hoped for. Things have modified so much for yr two although with Ben Roethlisberger retired and both a rookie (Kenny Pickett) or Mitch Trubisky within the pivot (I’m not positive which might be higher). Harris had 300+ carries final season and for this yr’s Pittsburgh group to be aggressive they most likely want him to hold it more not much less. The alternative must be there, just like Chubb above, simply with much less drama across the group. Durability shouldn’t be a priority.
Josh Jacobs +3000
I really feel like Jacobs is underneath the radar coming into the season. The Raiders made a serious addition to their passing assault within the type of WR Davante Adams and I like QB Derek Carr to have an amazing season however the brand new coach all the time made positive the Patriots had been operating the ball successfully when he was there and more often than not he didn’t have a again pretty much as good as Jacobs to work with. He most likely does not set all-time data for utilization however I can see him being within the combine all season lengthy and perhaps has the good thing about the Raiders being in a number of shut video games.
Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall +4000
These gamers couldn’t be more completely different coming into the season. Three years in the past McCaffrey was the perfect operating again within the recreation posting a 1000/1000 season that gained fantasy leagues. He received a giant deal and has struggled with accidents ever since. Carolina is determined to win so there isn’t a cause to try to take it simple with him. That payoff is unquestionably value a shot when you assume he can keep wholesome. Versatility is his factor he might be explosive too.
On the flip aspect, Hall is only a rookie strolling into an honest scenario with the Jets. He was tremendous productive at Iowa State and I feel he’s “plug and play” into an offense that must be higher each which means this season. There must be some enchancment at QB too although or else he’ll see too many odd-man fronts. That is the factor that worries me essentially the most, too little respect for the passing recreation.
Saquon Barkley +5000
This one is all about that payoff. Barkley has by no means been as productive as he was when he was a rookie and led the NFL in yards from scrimmage, however there’s a new coach on the town although and he was in a position to give the Bills a dynamic operating assault. Sure, it was not all operating again generated however I like Brian Daboll to get more from Barkley than what we have now seen from earlier regimes. It is value taking a flyer.