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NFL MVP Odds: The case for Trey Lance

With NFL groups reporting to coaching camp, the subsequent transfer on our finish is to search out the MVP futures price a wager earlier than the season begins. This will likely be a collection, with 4 to 5 candidates trying like stable bets, to me at the least.

Our first look was at Tom Brady, and we circled again to the betting favourite in Josh Allen for our second goal.

Now we flip to the younger gun with a tantalizing payout: Trey Lance.

Trey Lance’s 2022 MVP odds

Trey Lance is presently +5000 to win MVP on DraftKings and +4000 on FanDuel, the Seventeenth-highest odds amongst quarterbacks.

Why Trey Lance Makes Sense

Of all of the quarterbacks I’ll be highlighting, that is my favourite worth play by far.

Patrick Mahomes is the true inspiration for contemplating Trey Lance to win 2022 MVP. What Mahomes did again in 2018 was easy: he inherited a playoff staff from Alex Smith and piled up monster numbers in his first season as a starter.

Is Trey Lance going to be nearly as good as Patrick Mahomes? That’s not the purpose. Lance is inheriting what I take into account to be one of many high rosters within the NFC. The 49ers went to the Super Bowl in 2019, suffered a rash of accidents that saved them down in 2020, received wholesome and made it to the NFC Championship this previous season.

Most of the important thing contributors and coaches are nonetheless right here. Now, Lance has had a redshirt season to get acquainted with the offense, and it is full steam forward. There are so many nice quarterbacks on this league, nobody is denying that, however I see Lance’s ceiling as one of many highest on the market. He can run, he can go, and so long as Deebo Samuel is beginning Week 1, he has all of the weapons he wants on offense.

More than that, this 49ers staff needs to be within the playoffs. It’s not unprecedented to suppose they may take down Los Angeles for the NFC West title. If San Francisco is without doubt one of the NFC’s high groups by January, and Lance places up explosive numbers, why could not he take residence MVP too?

Second Year QB Trend

This is a short part however deserves some extra consideration. We already talked about how Mahomes, in his second NFL season and first as a starter, gained the MVP in 2018. That is pancaked between two different memorable second-year QB seasons.

In 2017, Carson Wentz was on observe to win MVP in his second 12 months earlier than tearing his ACL in Week 14. In 2019, Lamar Jackson did win MVP in his second season within the league.

There’s one thing about that “fresh face” that draws voters come season’s finish.

Potential Lance Statistics

While faculty stats should not predictive, we’ll spotlight Lance’s lone season as a starter with a view to showcase the kind of QB he’s.

His 2019 season at North Dakota State was a stellar one, as Lance completed with 2,786 passing yards (9.7 YPA), 28 touchdowns, 0 interceptions, 1,100 speeding yards and 14 speeding TDs. 

By far essentially the most spectacular factor in that stat line to me is the 0 interceptions. We talked about it within the Josh Allen piece, however a robust TD:INT ratio goes a good distance for this award. The competitors is totally totally different, however that is simply phenomenal stuff, and that speeding power is completely lovely.

Kyle Shanahan has actually executed job of scheming up artistic offensive performs, and with a quarterback like Lance on the helm, I’m excited to see what San Francisco can do that season. Love him for fantasy soccer, love his season-long props and love him to win MVP at +5000. 

Final Word

I really like this futures guess. Yes, I highlighted a number of the favorites to win this award, however that is as a result of their case actually is so compelling.

This is the place the true enjoyable begins. Lance brings super odds and checks off a variety of containers I’d wish to see in a possible MVP. He’s in a terrific scenario and has been handed the keys. Time to hit the freeway child, deliver us residence the win.

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