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Picking fourth overall provides a dilemma over Harris, Williams, and Swift

In the most recent of our dynasty fantasy soccer draft technique articles, we study the choices with the fourth overall choice in a dynasty startup draft. Is there a slam dunk choice, and how ought to fantasy managers take into account approaching the early rounds from this spot within the draft?

Dynasty draft technique: Picking from the fourth overall draft spot

For this draft, we might be utilizing a 12-team league with PPR (level per reception) scoring and a 1QB format. The remainder of the roster is made up of two operating backs, two receivers, a tight finish, and two flex spots because the beginning roster. Additionally, rookies might be included within the startup. Depending in your league settings, you may must tweak your draft technique to match your scoring format and roster necessities.

These picks have been made utilizing the Fantasy Pros Mock Draft Simulator, with all alternatives outdoors of the picks listed beneath being made by the system.

1.04) Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

The choice on the fourth overall decide truly feels considerably easy. Right now, the highest 4 gamers in dynasty codecs are Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Najee Harris. While Cooper Kupp could make a legitimate case to rival that group, he seems like a clear tier beneath. The identical will be mentioned for the opposite RB choices of Javonte Williams, Christian McCaffrey, and D’Andre Swift.

The harm considerations over McCaffrey aren’t insignificant, particularly for a dynasty league. Meanwhile, each Williams and Swift have clear competitors for touches this season. In distinction, Harris didn’t have competitors and proved extraordinarily sturdy final yr. While sturdiness can’t be assumed yr to yr, the dearth of competitors is obvious.

Behind Harris on the depth chart are Benny Snell, Anthony McFarland, and Trey Edmunds. None of these are more likely to take important touches away from Harris. Additionally, the Steelers upgraded their offensive line, which ought to present Harris extra assist when carrying the ball.

On prime of that, the QB scenario lends itself to the Steelers having a run-heavy strategy. Mitchell Trubisky, Kenny Pickett, or Mason Rudolph are much less more likely to sling the ball round as Ben Roethlisberger usually did throughout his profession. Combine that with a stable protection that’s proficient sufficient to maintain video games shut, and Harris must be a main a part of the sport plan for Pittsburgh.

2.09) Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills

From a operating again perspective, the likes of Nick Chubb and Alvin Kamara may each nonetheless be obtainable. Both are 26 and might be a concern by way of their long-term future. On the youthful aspect, Cam Akers might be in consideration, however he struggled on his return from an ACL harm final season. From a WR perspective, there are alternatives reminiscent of DK Metcalf, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, and Jaylen Waddle.

The highest-rated participant obtainable in PFN’s dynasty prime 250 is Metcalf, with Hill and Kamara narrowly behind. Given the likes of Akers, J.Ok. Dobbins, and Antonio Gibson are all nonetheless obtainable right here, passing on RB is a actual chance if you wish to lock down a near-elite WR.

When you take a look at WR, Hill and Diggs are each 28, with Metcalf and Waddle below 25. There is a few uncertainty about whether or not Hill will be his identical explosive self with the change from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa. Metcalf’s QB scenario is extraordinarily unsure, and Waddle now has to compete for targets with Hill and the newly-acquired RBs.

Meanwhile, Diggs might be an absolute goal monster for the Bills following the departure of Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley. The Bills’ offense is extraordinarily dynamic, and Diggs is extraordinarily proficient. At 28, he could not be capable of contribute as nicely 4 to 5 years down the road as Metcalf and Waddle, however he provides extra certainty proper now.

3.04) Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Commanders

The thought of this technique article is to strive and construct a group within the early rounds that may compete in 2022 but additionally have legs. If the board had fallen in such a manner that trying extra in direction of the longer term made extra sense, then that will surely have been a pivot. However, it has not, and the win-now technique lends itself to taking a look at RB right here.

The choices on the board have been Chubb, Henry, Dobbins, Travis Etienne, and Gibson. Both Chubb and Henry match the win-now mannequin properly, however their age presents severe limitations probably as early as 2023. They definitely shouldn’t be discounted, however when there may be youthful choices who also can contribute considerably proper now, that’s the solution to look right here.

That leads us to the mixture of Dobbins, Etienne, and Gibson. Both Dobbins and Etienne are coming off important harm points final season by which they didn’t take a snap. Meanwhile, Gibson had his struggles however nonetheless managed to submit 1,331 complete yards and 10 touchdowns on 300 touches. The younger again has back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons and double-digit touchdowns.

This does imply we’re leaving some proficient WRs on the desk in Waddle, Diontae Johnson, DJ Moore, and Chris Godwin. However, all of these have important query marks, and the WR depth within the center rounds of the draft is best than that of RBs.

4.09) Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Round 4 of our dynasty draft is the place the QB place comes into play as a technique choice. Yes, in a 1QB league, the place doesn’t carry the identical precedence it might in Superflex codecs. However, in a dynasty league, having a participant you already know you can begin each week is essential. My technique tends in direction of streaming choices within the 1QB format so passing on Mahomes and Herbert right here is a threat I’m prepared to take.

Running back-wise, now we have some intriguing veteran choices in Leonard Fournette, Aaron Jones, and Ezekiel Elliott. Additionally, there may be AJ Dillon, Elijah Mitchell, and Josh Jacobs, all of whom current youthful, extra long-term choices. Uncertainty round their roles means, for now, the three youthful gamers take a backseat to these veterans.

Now the controversy is between Jones, Fournette, or Elliott. It appeared as if Elliott struggled final yr, however he nonetheless hit 250 fantasy factors. Tony Pollard looms massive, however Elliott continues to be the first again. The solely concern is that the Cowboys restrict Elliott’s workload within the season to make sure he’s wholesome in the course of the playoffs.

The identical concern is there with Jones, who has AJ Dillon behind him. However, with the Packers’ passing recreation unsure in 2022, Jones and Dillon might be closely leaned upon. But Fournette has a a lot clearer path to relevancy this yr. He had a incredible marketing campaign in 2021, regardless of Brady throwing it over 600 occasions. Fournette is so proficient, and there may be minimal severe competitors for his function in Tampa Bay. Sticking with the win-now philosophy, Fournette is the decide right here.

5.04) Aaron Jones, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Four RBs within the first 5 picks is an intriguing technique in a dynasty league, however if you’re making an attempt to win in 2022, these 4 backs might be main contributors. The reasoning for this choice is laid out above. Jones is a proficient RB who can assist a roster win now. There are considerations, however not as many as if we drop right down to the subsequent tier of RBs in later rounds.

In distinction, the WR depth means we will goal the place closely over the subsequent few rounds and add contributors who can often push their manner into the beginning lineup. In a best-case state of affairs, we now have 4 RBs who can begin each week. In a worst-case state of affairs, the group nonetheless has no less than two premier backs for 2022 within the occasion one or two get injured.

Dynasty draft technique from the fourth overall spot | Rounds 6-15

6.09) Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR, Detroit Lions
7.04) Allen Robinson | WR, Los Angeles Rams
8.09) Gabriel Davis | WR, Buffalo Bills
9.04) James Cook | RB, Buffalo Bills
10.09) Justin Fields | QB, Chicago Bears
11.04) Matthew Stafford | QB, Los Angeles Rams
12.09) Albert Okwuegbunam | TE, Denver Broncos
13.04) Zach Ertz | TE, Arizona Cardinals
14.09) Zach Wilson | QB, New York Jets
15.04) Russell Gage | WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Projected Week 1 roster

QB – Matthew Stafford
RB – Najee Harris
RB – Antonio Gibson
WR – Stefon Diggs
WR – Russell Gage
TE – Zach Ertz
Flex – Leonard Fournette
Flex – Aaron Jones

A fast word on this lineup and the inclusion of Russell Gage: From a dynasty perspective, Diggs, St. Brown, Robinson, and Davis present immense upside. However, in Week 1, there are some robust matchups. Meanwhile, Gage might be a beginning WR in Week 1 for a Buccaneers offense that might be with out Chris Godwin. Therefore, with a matchup in opposition to the Cowboys’ second choice at cornerback, Gage might be a big fantasy worth choice in Week 1.

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