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QBs and stress: Why Jimmy Garoppolo is in limbo

That final play will in all probability be Garoppolo’s final for the 49ers. Kyle Shanahan has publicly confirmed that his workforce has “moved on to Trey [Lance].” Offseason shoulder surgical procedure (amongst different issues) has turfed Garoppolo’s commerce market, and he’ll in all probability be launched at some point. The Seahawks seem like the one workforce which may have a gap, but when they thought Garoppolo could be an improve over Drew Lock and Geno Smith, they absolutely would have traded for him by now. Garoppolo could don’t have any alternative however to take a seat out the 2022 season and return in 2023. Flawed as he is, that unpressured DVOA ought to look awfully enticing to a contending workforce that wants a quarterback — particularly since efficiency from a clear pocket has traditionally been extra constant than efficiency beneath stress.

Garoppolo is not the one passer whose numbers dipped considerably beneath stress. Let’s have a look at the remainder of the underside 5, as measured by drop-off in DVOA:

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

Rodgers’ MVP marketing campaign was fueled by a god-tier efficiency from a clear pocket: 77.2% completion fee, 7.52% landing fee, 0.23% interception fee, all the very best in the league. But he solely accomplished 30.3% of his passes for 3.12 yards per throw when beneath stress, rating subsequent to final in each classes, forward of Zach Wilson and Tyler Huntley, respectively.

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

As referenced earlier, Burrow led the NFL with 9.59 yards per throw from a clear pocket. But beneath stress, he ranked among the many backside 5 qualifiers in each interception fee and sack fee.

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans

Tannehill’s unpressured numbers had been near league common throughout the board, however when he was harassed by defenders, he ranked in the underside 10 in interception fee, sack fee, and yards per completion. That final quantity is extra vital than you may assume, as a result of the very best quarterbacks beneath stress had been often those that may escape the cross rush and hit receivers downfield for giant positive aspects. Patrick Mahomes, for instance, led the NFL with a mind-blowing 17.3 yards per completion when beneath stress.

Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns

Mayfield was sacked 43 occasions in solely 115 pressured dropbacks. That’s a sack fee of 37.4% when beneath stress, and that was the worst in the league. Now he is going from an excellent offensive line in Cleveland to Carolina, the place Sam Darnold had one of many highest stress charges in the league. This could go poorly.

Josh Allen: Pass Rush-Proof

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen spent many of the 2021 season dwelling — and thriving — beneath stress. He had 214 stress performs, 22 greater than anybody else, and he led the NFL with 165 passes, 913 yards and 13 landing throws (5 greater than anybody else) when beneath duress. Oh, and he was solely sacked 26 occasions — that is an under-pressure sack fee of 13.6%, lowest of any qualifying quarterback all yr. That mobility did greater than get Allen out of bother — he gained a league-best 444 yards on scrambles, and his 74% success fee on scrambles was larger than anybody else in the highest 10. Combine his sacks and scrambles and we discover that even when pass-rushers tackled Allen, he nonetheless managed a mean acquire of 4.0 yards. (And that is not even counting what he did on designed runs.) The worst quarterback from a clear pocket is nonetheless higher than the very best quarterback beneath stress, however no quarterback was much less dangerous beneath stress than Allen.

Other quarterbacks who ranked larger beneath stress than from a clear pocket embrace:

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Prescott solely threw one interception beneath stress all season, and had the bottom under-pressure interception fee of any full-time starter. (Baltimore’s Tyler Huntley had zero interceptions in 34 under-pressure throws.)

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

As we noticed with Allen, high quality scrambling is generally the easiest way to beat stress. Jackson wasn’t fairly as harmful a scrambler as Allen in 2021, however he was nonetheless awfully efficient, rating second in carries and fourth in yards regardless of lacking 5 video games. He was additionally an explosive passer beneath stress, rating in the highest 10 in each yards per cross and yards per completion.

Jacoby Brissett, CLEVELAND BROWNS

Brissett is the anti-Rodgers — he solely appears to be like good beneath stress, comparatively talking, as a result of he was dirt-terrible from a clear pocket, the place his 6.0 yards per cross and 8.5 yards per completion had been each worst in the league. Enjoy, Browns followers!

Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

Another scrambler, and essentially the most prolific of all of them. Hurts led the NFL with 50 scrambles and was second behind Allen with 416 yards … and when you think about that Allen threw over 200 extra passes, Hurts would blow him away in scramble fee if that was one thing we felt like compiling. Hurts additionally excelled when beneath harassment at avoiding sacks (fifth-lowest sack fee) and producing huge performs (sixth-best yards per completion).

The Final Totals

The following desk reveals stress numbers for all quarterbacks with a minimum of 200 cross performs in 2021. Quarterbacks are ranked from lowest stress fee (Tom Brady, 15.7%) to highest (Justin Fields, 34.7%).

Quarterbacks and Pressure, 2021
QBTmPlaysPct
Pressure
Yds
w/Pressure
DVOA
w/Pressure
Yds
No Pressure
DVOA
No Pressure
Yds Dif.DVOA Dif.
Tom BradyTB76015.7%3.4-39.7%7.858.7%-4.4-98.4%
Ben RoethlisbergerPIT65516.9%1.7-119.8%6.426.1%-4.7-145.9%
Matthew StaffordLAR64618.1%3.1-94.8%8.355.5%-5.2-150.3%
Aaron RodgersGB58720.4%1.3-94.9%8.781.1%-7.3-176.1%
Andy DaltonCHI26820.9%1.1-76.2%6.910.1%-5.8-86.3%
Mac JonesNE57622.7%2.8-57.1%7.742.9%-4.9-100.0%
Dak PrescottDAL65923.2%4.5-22.2%7.747.5%-3.2-69.7%
Jimmy GaroppoloSF47823.4%3.1-95.4%9.264.7%-6.1-160.1%
Tua TagovailoaMIA42923.5%3.3-81.2%7.147.8%-3.9-129.0%
Justin HerbertLAC74924.4%3.5-31.6%8.153.9%-4.6-85.4%
Ryan TannehillTEN60624.6%1.9-110.4%7.644.8%-5.7-155.2%
Patrick MahomesKC73824.9%5.2-39.7%7.657.7%-2.5-97.4%
Tyler HuntleyBAL23125.1%1.0-100.0%6.639.4%-5.6-139.5%
Baker MayfieldCLE49426.1%1.8-108.7%7.544.0%-5.7-152.7%
Jared GoffDET54226.2%2.7-105.9%6.932.7%-4.2-138.6%
Taylor HeinickeWAS57826.6%3.1-71.0%7.237.2%-4.1-108.2%
Joe BurrowCIN59626.7%2.1-98.3%9.460.8%-7.3-159.1%
Trevor LawrenceJAX67026.9%2.1-85.9%6.915.8%-4.8-101.7%
Teddy BridgewaterDEN47827.0%2.8-55.9%7.763.6%-5.0-119.5%
Kyler MurrayARI54827.4%4.8-41.1%7.851.2%-3.0-92.3%
Davis MillsHOU44027.5%2.6-100.4%7.231.9%-4.7-132.3%
Derek CarrLV69327.7%4.3-73.2%8.344.8%-4.1-118.0%
Carson WentzIND58728.3%3.5-76.2%7.639.7%-4.2-115.9%
Daniel JonesNYG41628.4%2.6-100.7%7.331.4%-4.7-132.1%
Lamar JacksonBAL46828.4%4.4-39.9%7.733.5%-3.3-73.4%
Kirk CousinsMIN60528.9%3.3-78.3%8.568.2%-5.2-146.5%
Josh AllenBUF72629.5%4.4-26.2%7.440.5%-3.0-66.6%
Matt RyanATL62730.1%3.7-66.2%7.328.4%-3.6-94.6%
Jalen HurtsPHI51130.3%3.9-39.6%8.242.6%-4.3-82.3%
Zach WilsonNYJ44930.5%0.9-120.6%7.129.9%-6.2-150.5%
Sam DarnoldCAR46531.4%2.7-97.6%6.615.1%-4.0-112.7%
Russell WilsonSEA46532.3%4.6-33.1%7.957.6%-3.3-90.7%
Jacoby BrissettMIA26134.5%2.5-62.8%6.313.9%-3.7-76.7%
Justin FieldsCHI35434.7%2.1-103.3%7.938.3%-5.8-141.6%
NFL AVERAGE  26.1%3.1-74.0%7.642.4%-4.5-116.5%

Pressures are charted for us by our associates at Sports Info Solutions. We mark stress when there is a hurry or a sack that is not a protection sack or “failed scramble.” QB hits after the cross don’t rely as pressures right here if the quarterback wasn’t hurried earlier than the throw.

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