For a very long time, NFL and fantasy soccer pundits alike talked up third-year wide receivers. A receiver’s third season was sometimes when he’d take that leap to the subsequent degree. Sometimes, although, it by no means occurs. Here are 4 third-year wide receivers you may give up on in fantasy soccer.
One of a very powerful expertise to possess in fantasy soccer is admitting once you had been improper. None of us are able to predicting participant success at a 100% fee. If we will even get to 60%, that’s going to end in a massively constructive anticipated worth over the course of our fantasy soccer careers.
Some of those wide receivers are guys you’ll have favored popping out of school. You might have even favored them as lately as final yr. I do know I actually did for a few them. Unfortunately, after two years within the NFL, listed here are 4 third-year wide receivers I’m giving up on.
Jalen Reagor, Philadelphia Eagles
We begin with a participant I favored as a prospect. Jalen Reagor had a powerful prospect profile that prompt NFL success. He was a first-round choose by the Eagles at simply 21 years outdated, posting good velocity and elite burst scores.
Reagor was dominant in faculty at a really younger age. In the NFL, he utterly flopped.
Reagor caught simply 31 passes for 396 yards and a landing as a rookie. Those numbers alone just about spelled doom for his NFL profession. A wide receiver sometimes wants to attain 500 receiving yards as a rookie for any probability of going on to have a productive profession.
As a sophomore, Reagor couldn’t have requested for a greater scenario. The Eagles’ WR1 was undersized rookie DeVonta Smith. Reagor was all set to function as their major exterior receiver. Instead, he performed even worse. Reagor caught simply two extra passes than he did as a rookie for 97 fewer yards. This was regardless of enjoying in six extra video games. As a consequence, Reagor averaged just 4.6 PPR fantasy points per game last season.
Now coming into his third season, I’ve shut the door on Reagor ever being greater than a real-life rotational WR4/5. During the 2022 NFL Draft, the Eagles traded for A.J. Brown, who will begin reverse Smith. They additionally signed Zach Pascal, who’s confirmed to be higher than Reagor. Quez Watkins was extra productive than Reagor final yr as effectively.
At finest, Reagor is about to open the season because the Eagles’ WR5. He would possibly even be their WR6 behind Greg Ward. It’s solely attainable Reagor both will get reduce or is a wholesome inactive on recreation day. If you’re nonetheless holding out hope for Reagor, it’s time to let go.
Laviska Shenault Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
I actually want I may sit right here and inform you how I nailed these predictions and knew these gamers could be horrible. While I used to be by no means an enormous Laviska Shenault man, I can’t say I believed he could be this unproductive.
The humorous factor is Shenault actually saw 100 targets final season. He simply didn’t do something with them.
Shenault was supposed to be this explosive downfield risk. Instead, he’s only a gradual, low aDOT man. As a rookie, Shenault’s common depth of goal was 6.6, rating exterior the highest 100. Somehow, it bought worse as a sophomore, dropping to 5.4.
The Jaguars might not have overtly mentioned they’re executed with Shenault, however actions converse louder than phrases. While Marvin Jones is again for one more yr, the Jaguars additionally emptied the checkbook to signal Christian Kirk this offseason. They additionally signed Zay Jones and Evan Engram. That’s at the least three go catchers who will see targets forward of Shenault.
Last season, Laquon Treadwell and Jamal Agnew had been additionally surprisingly competent. It wouldn’t be in the slightest degree shocking in the event that they, too, performed forward of Shenault.
There was positively motive to consider in Shenault as a rookie. He even reached 600 receiving yards. I utterly perceive the optimism that went in heading into his sophomore season. However, after two years within the league, I’m prepared to shut the door on Shenault.
Denzel Mims, New York Jets
Denzel Mims is one more cautionary story about each four-year faculty receivers and Baylor receivers. Mims was productive in faculty and posted off-the-charts athletic measurables on the NFL Combine. He ran a 4.38 40-time at 6’3″, 207 kilos. By all accounts, Mims ought to’ve panned out. He simply…didn’t.
Mims managed simply 357 receiving yards as a rookie. Yes, he solely performed in 9 video games and would’ve hit the 500-receiving-yard threshold had he performed a full season. Still, the edge doesn’t care about why a receiver didn’t hit it — all that issues is he didn’t.
Then, as a sophomore, Mims was utterly marginalized. The Jets handled a rash of accidents to their wide receiver corps. Corey Davis went down. Elijah Moore adopted go well with. At one level final season, the Jets had been trotting out Braxton Berrios and Keelan Cole as their prime two receivers. And but, Mims nonetheless couldn’t command targets.
Mims commanded only a 6% goal share and caught simply eight passes for 133 yards for the whole yr. In response, the Jets have clearly moved on. Moore is their presumptive WR1, Davis is again, they re-signed Berrios, and drafted rookie Garrett Wilson within the first spherical.
If Mims is even lively on recreation day, it is going to be because the crew’s WR5. Even within the deepest of fantasy soccer leagues, you may give up on Mims.
Bryan Edwards, Atlanta Falcons
Analytics Twitter loves Bryan Edwards. The former third-round choose of the Raiders was a well-liked sleeper coming into the 2021 season. This one I by no means noticed.
Edwards was a four-year faculty participant who broke out at an early age and was extremely dominant at South Carolina. But his faculty yards per reception had been within the twelfth percentile, and he fell into the third spherical of the 2020 NFL Draft.
As a rookie, Edwards managed simply 11 receptions for 193 yards in 11 video games. Again, effectively wanting the 500-yard threshold. In his sophomore season, it wasn’t significantly better.
Edwards had each alternative to set up himself because the Raiders’ WR1 of the longer term. The Raiders’ prime three receivers coming into the 2021 season had been Henry Ruggs, Hunter Renfrow, and Edwards. Yet, Edwards was unable to produce. Then, Ruggs had his horrific off-the-field incident, ending his time in Las Vegas. Edwards as soon as once more had a possibility to be the man for Derek Carr. Instead, he fell behind Zay Jones.
Edwards may have an opportunity to revive his profession on an equally barren Falcons depth chart. Drake London is the clear WR1, however the WR2 job is wide open. And there are these on the market that assume Edwards can seize it. But he had simply nearly as good of an opportunity in Las Vegas with a greater quarterback throwing him the ball, and he couldn’t do it.
I see no motive to consider issues can be totally different on a Falcons crew led by Marcus Mariota that can virtually actually be one of many worst offenses within the NFL.